Roy Halladay Player Projection No. 19

Key Stats: Roy Halladay has been ranked among the top 15 overall players in fantasy baseball for four straight seasons. The only other player that can claim the same is Albert Pujols. Coming from a pitcher that’s amazing. While I would contend that Miguel Cabrera and Ryan Braun are more of a sure thing than Halladay, Halladay is probably the fourth best guarantee in fantasy baseball.

Skeptics Say: In three starts so far this spring, Halladay has an ERA north of 10. Halladay claims that he is not hurt and just said that it will take him longer to get going as a veteran with lots of miles on his arm. Does that mean he won’t be good in April? I doubt it – last year he had a 2.14 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in that month.

Peer Comparison: Halladay is the popular pick for the best pitcher in fantasy baseball given that he is such a sure thing to stay away from Dr. James Andrews’ office. There are some sites that like Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw more than Halladay. I also like the reigning Cy Young Award winners.

Player

Age

K/9

WHIP

xFIP

Halladay

35

8.5

1.04

2.71

Verlander

29

9.0

0.92

3.12

Kershaw

24

9.6

0.98

2.84

I still look at this list and disregard the age in terms of who can stay healthy, but in terms of who can sustain or even improve upon these numbers it’s Kershaw and Verlander. Halladay’s K rate is generous here compared to some of his other seasons as well. Halladay is especially of lower value in leagues that put a hard cap on innings since his K/9 is so much lower.

Team Outlook: See the Cliff Lee notes.

What They’re Saying: CBS Sportsline: #1 Starting Pitcher; Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN.com: #1 Starting Pitcher & #11 Overall; Yahoo: #3 Starting Pitcher & #18 Overall; Mock Draft Central ADP: #2 Starting Pitcher & #21 Overall; RotoChamp: #10 Overall

Projection: Pitching 9 innings has its benefits. Halladay has won more than 19 games per season over the past four years.
19 wins 2.52 ERA 1.03 WHIP 200 K in 230 innings