Giancarlo Stanton Player Projection No. 27

Key Stats: Giancarlo Stanton smacked 34 home runs as a 21-year-old last year. I’d say he’s earned the chance to go for a new name. The numbers that he had last season at the age that he had it is worth comparing (see the peer comparison), but ignore the age. Stanton was 9th in home runs last year, but trailed only Curtis Granderson and Jose Bautista in isolated power (both of those guys led baseball).  The average distance of a ball off his bat went 322 feet – best in all of baseball. Stanton could lead all of baseball in home runs this season at age 22.

Skeptics Say: There’s still a lot that remains to be seen. Stanton struck out 27.6% of the time last year. That was second worst among qualifying outfielders. Obviously that impacts batting average where Stanton was a liability last season. And while I respect Jack McKeon’s baseball acumen, Stanton stealing 30 bases is out of the question.

Peer Comparison: Here’s what other great players were doing at the age of 21 – keep in mind most players aren’t even able to get up this fast.

Player

HR

OPS

ISO

Stanton

34

.893

.275

Justin Upton

26

.899

.232

Albert Pujols

37

1.013

.282

Alex Rodriguez

23

.846

.196

Pretty good company and Stanton is essentially holding his own with them. Keeper leagues feel free to reach as high as you need. Stanton is can’t miss talent.

Lineup Outlook: The Marlins lineup should look something like this one through six:

Jose Reyes
Emilio Bonifacio
Hanley Ramirez
Stanton
Gaby Sanchez
Logan Morrison

Although the Marlins will have to face some pretty filthy pitchers in the NL East, that group should be able to put up some crooked numbers assuming Reyes is healthy and HanRam isn’t bitter and is motivated. The x-factor is Morrison who hit 23 home runs last year but let the celebrity of being a pro athlete in the information age get to his head during the months of June, July, and August. Morrison could hit thirty home runs in a full season, but will need to have his head on straight on a team that could remind some people of the Washington Redskins.

What They’re Saying: CBS Sportsline: #11 Outfielder; Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN.com: #9 Outfielder & #31 Overall; Yahoo: #8 Outfielder & #25 Overall; Mock Draft Central ADP: #8 Outfielder & #23 Overall; RotoChamp: #22 Overall

Projection: While there’s no telling exactly how the new park will play to his power, if it isn’t Yosemite, it probably can’t contain him.
90 R 40 HR 103 RBI 7 SB .262 AVG .920 OPS in 635 plate appearances