Key Stats: There is currently only one other third baseman in baseball who is the 5 category threat that David Wright can be, and he has a total of 171 plate appearances in his career. The strikeouts may be a concern, but last year in only 104 games he still hit 14 HR’s and gave us 60+ Runs and RBI. In 2010 he was a 5 category monster with a triple slash line of .283/.354/.503. At the top of his game David Wright is a .300 batter that can threaten 30 HR, 100 RBI, 80 Runs and steal 20 bags. The fences are moving in at Citi and it’s not going to be the pitchers haven it used to be.
Skeptics Say: Wright hasn’t been at the top of his game the last few years though. Despite the 2010 season, injuries are mounting (he is out currently with pain in his ribs and isn’t scheduled to play in a spring training game for another week) along with the strikeouts. He is the face of a franchise working out of NY and that comes with a lot of pressure. Is it getting to him? Wright also isn’t a guarantee to finish the season with the Mets, which may not be a bad thing for fantasy owners but it could mess with his head until the trade deadline. If he does get traded, what then? It’s hard to imagine a worse situation for him than the Mets.
Peer Comparison: Wright has come up twice here recently at FB365 in article about other third basemen, so to me that tells me he is still a player to be held in high regard despite the level of productivity expected from him the last few years. See how we determine he stacks up against the likes of Brett Lawrie and Adrian Beltre.
Lineup Outlook: The Mets are going to struggle, but it’s the pitching that is the cause for alarm in Queens. The Mets were 6th last year in all of baseball in AVG, 12th in Runs and 9th in steals. While the offense certainly takes a hit with the loss of Reyes, they still have an offense that can produce. Daniel Murphy was top 5 in the NL in batting before he got hurt last year. Davis was on pace to threaten a 30 HR/.300 avg season before he was hurt. Lucas Duda was a top 30 Outfielder the 2nd half of 2011 and finished the year with a .852 OPS. With the fences coming in and reports that Jason Bay is returning to the swing he was using in his Pittsburgh/Red Sox days he might experience a revival in his career.
What They’re Saying: CBS Sportsline – #3 Third baseman; Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN.com – #4 Third baseman & #32 Overall; RotoChamp – #61 Overall; Moch Draft Central ADP – #3 Third baseman and #33 Overall
Projection: The fences moving in at Citi Field excite me. The key for Wright is going to be staying healthy. Once the regular season stars Wright is the kind of guy that tries to talk his way into the lineup everyday despite little injuries. That, along with bringing a full slate of 5 tools to 3rd base is reason enough for anyone to want him on their roster. It’s time for a return to prominence. Wright wants to stay in NY and he plans on making it hard for the Mets to want to move him.
.290 AVG, 26 HR, 80 Runs, 90 RBI, 18 Steals, .346 OBP and a .830 OPS in 575 ABs.