Daily Notes – The Travis Hafner Still Has Power Edition

Did anyone see the Travis Hafner bomb yesterday? ESPN’s HR tracker had this thing at 481 feet. He hit it out to right field, so it automatically looks even bigger than that since the fence is so much closer there than in center. Anyway, video here… you can’t see the ball land, all you can see is people in the last row of seats turning around to look behind them.

2006 seems like forever ago, eh Travy? 42 HR, .308 avg, 100 runs, 117 RBI… all in only 129 games! He is off to a solid start this year with 2 round trippers in 6 games. His HR/FB rate is 25%! While throwing that stat out after 6 games is more for comical effect than validity, if he can slog through 130 or 140 games this year, maintain his current fly ball rate (45%) and duplicate his HR/FB rate from last year (14.4%) we could be looking at 25-30 HR and a half way decent average. Not a horrible early season gamble on someone owned in 9% of Yahoo! leagues. After all, that type of thinking worked out pretty good for Berkman owners last year, right?

  • In other Indians making a splash finally, Jason Kipnis has two HR’s in his last two games. His AVG is still under .200, but maybe he’s starting to put it together. In other news I mentioned that I dropped Kipnis for Mike Trout cause I didn’t want to part ways with Stubbs yet, well I just dropped Stubbs to get Kipnis back. I’m so flip floppy!
  • Matt Kemp is really good.
  • Brett Lawrie finally hit a HR this year! Y-eh-ay! (I’m part Canadian, I can write that). Kyle Drabek had another strong outing, going 7.1 IP, giving up 6 hits, 1 earned and striking out 6. The only blemish was a HR given up to Adam Jones. Who was that handsome blogger that recomended you start him this weekend?
Pitching Matchups

TB @ BOS – Shields vs. Bard – Shields gets killed at Fenway, and despite the Sox struggles so far, they have 31 runs scored in their last 3 games. Bench him.

HOU @ WAS – Weiland vs. Strasburg – I don’t think Weiland’s peripherals will carry him through the start tonight knowing he probably isn’t going to have a shot at a win.

MIN @ NYY – Pavano vs. Garcia – Garcia needs to show me more especially after 5 wild pitches in his last time out. I’d bench both.

NYM @ ATL – Gee vs. Hanson – Gee was a victim of bad defense in his first start, not bad pitching. He pitched well at Turner field last year. Worth rolling the dice on him tonight.

BAL @ CHW – Arrieta vs. Humber – Both players get my seal of approval this week, though Humber is a definite gamble. I’ve picked him up and will be locked into both his starts this week in Blog Wars.

DET @ KC – Verlander vs. Duffy – Duffy was solid last week, but he was throwing against the A’s… The Tigers are not the A’s…

SD @ COl – Luebke vs. Guthrie – Look for more change ups and better results from Luebke this game.

PIT @ ARI – Bedard vs. Saunders – Saunders only gets the start because Pittsburgh has been anemic so far this year.

OAK @ LAA – McCarthy vs. Weaver – I green light both.

PHI @ SF – Halladay vs. Lincecum – No brainer… even with Lincecum’s struggles I still throw him here.