Tim Hudson – If he can keep the ball on the ground against TOR, he should see good results. Great match-up later in the week against SD.
Juan Nicasio – The strikeout numbers are trending up and the command has been excellent. However, he faces to AL teams on the road and one of them is the Yanks. Still, his upside is worth the risk.
Derek Holland – His stuff is so good, but his location within the strike-zone is so inconsistent. If you need to take a risk this week, his match-ups are good vs HOU and NYM.
Charlie Morton – His poor K/BB numbers may have finally caught up to him as he has allowed 9 ER in his last 9 IP with a 4/3 K/BB ratio. Morton look like a huge risk to start against Boston later in the week.
Dillon Gee – Despite a below average K-rate, Gee has done a good job of inducing weak contact. The problem is that he gets @TEX later in the week.
Carl Pavano – Has pitched better in his last three starts and gets SF on Tuesday. His match-up against MIL on Sunday is a bit risky.
Chris Narveson – Command has been hit-or-miss this month though he could stifle his AL foes with offspeed stuff they have yet to see.
Fausto Carmona – Despite a 58-percent groundball rate, Carmona has allowed 10 home runs in his last seven games. If he could somehow manage to keep the ball in the yard, a swift turnaround is possible. Until then, he’s certainly a risk.
Jake Arrieta – Still highly inconsistent.
Doug Fister – Two OK match-ups, but his ERA is 4.50 this month.
Carlos Zambrano – He’s always a gamble.
Livan Hernandez – The risk is always there with Livan, but I could see a nice performance against SEA.
Andrew Miller – The ultimate gamble. Miller will replace the ailing Clay Buchholz and has two great match-ups ahead of him in SD and @PIT. He had a 8.4 K/9 and 4.8 BB/9 at triple-A, so the potential for some decent strikeout totals is there, as is the potential for some WHIP damage.
Luke Hochevar – He’s kept the ERs down in his last two starts, but with a 3/5 K/BB ratio.
Jeff Niemann – It’s tough to trust a pitcher coming off of the DL and @MIL to start the week is not an attractive match-up.
Ivan Nova – It’s hard to trust a pitcher with a 1.2 K/BB rate.
Kyle Mclellan – Hasn’t pitched well of late and two bad match-ups against PHI and TOR
The Stay Aways
Josh Outman – 12/11 K/BB on the year. I just can’t trust that.
Brad Penny – 24 hits and three home runs allowed in his last 15.1 IP.
J.A. Happ – @TEX, TB