In this week’s One Man’s Trash, we look at an injured Angel, a pitcher with a perfecto on the season and a hitter with 10 home runs on the season. Who to buy and who to sell…
Using ESPN’s most dropped percentages.
Kendry Morales -38.4 percent
When Morales was carted off the field, fantasy owners couldn’t help but expect the worse. The next day there were reports that, after surgery and recovery, he could be back by September. However, swelling has pushed back the surgery and every day that goes by is another day taken away from potential September impact. Even if Morales does make it back in September there is no way of knowing how long it will take for his swing to find a groove again or for his timing at the plate to take shape. Morales is certainly the type of talent you hold on your DL for as long as possible, but if you need the spot for something that can bring you more value in the short term, there is no use keeping him around.
Geovany Soto -18.9 percent
Sometimes a player becomes a product of his environment. More specifically with Soto, a product of his lineup and lineup position. Soto has 123 at-bats on the season, only 27 of which have come with runners in scoring position (22 percent). 73 of his at bats have come with no one on base (almost 60 percent). Sure, Soto has been hot and cold, but he is hitting line drives at a 25.5 percent clip. As a matter of fact, if it weren’t for the difference of a few runs and RBI, Soto’s numbers are much better than those of Brian McCann, who is still 100 percent owned in ESPN leagues. It’s not that Soto isn’t hitting the ball well, he’s just been a bit unlucky in terms of AVG and RBI opportunities.
Dallas Braden -16.5 percent
The first perfect game of 2010 belonged to Dallas Braden. Since that game Braden has had two sup par outings, one solid outing and one start cut short due to a sore ankle. Fantasy owners have seen fit to involve Braden in a lot of action revolving around trades and drops. Being a low strikeout, good command pitcher always makes for a risky roll of the dice each time out. His numbers are actually quite similar to those of Carlos Silva, who saberheads still don’t believe in. Braden can still be a valuable fantasy pitcher if used in the right matchups, but there isn’t a real need to keep a roster spot open for him in standard leagues.
Andruw Jones -14.1 percent
Just as expected
, Jones has been on again off again in the last month or so. His AVG is down to .227, but he does have 10 home runs. Playing time has been an issue and will likely be an issue all season long. Jones is a fine player to have in deeper leagues for the occasional power surge, but standard mixed leagues can either stash him for hot streaks or let him go in favor of someone more consistent.
Ryan Theriot -13 percent
Fantasy owners were about to start a riot when Lou Piniella announced that Mike Fontenot would be taking at-bats away from Ryan Theriot. After Fontenot failed to do anything in his couple of starts, Theriot was penciled in batting leadoff and playing second base for yesterday’s ballgame. The game was rained out, but it was nice to see his name back in the lineup. It was a horrible May for Theriot, but it “only” dropped his AVG to .285, which is almost precisely where preseason projections had him. ZiPS projection system has his line for the rest the of season at .286/.343/.365 with three home runs and 13 stolen bases. That would give him a .286 AVG for the season with 22 stolen bases. There are the numbers most expected from Theriot this preseason. Perhaps we got a bit spoiled by his .337 April. he stole five bases that month and four bases in May, so that pace has not been affected. Keep Theriot around. He is not a high end option at second or short, but he is a valuable player to have for some speed and an AVG that won’t hurt your team when all is said and done.