One Man’s Trash…Week Eight

With many big names struggling and June right around the corner, fantasy owners have finally had enough. Which of these big names is bound to bounce back?
 

Brad Penny -40.5% percent

So, Brad Penny is on the DL with back spasms and apparently no one in ESPN leagues has a DL spot available. Since looking at the improvements Penny made to start the season, not much has changed. He has continued to show excellent command while getting over 50 percent ground balls. While he may not be a big source of strikeouts, he should still provide number four/five starting pitcher fantasy value when he comes off the DL. His current 3.23 ERA is backed by a solid 3.43 FIP and 3.80 xFIP.
 
Andruw Jones -29% percent
Jones has seen a big drop in average, but this was expected. Still, he continues to get regular at-bats against lefties and a good amount of at-bats against righties. His power potential remains in the 20-plus range and as long as he is hitting in the middle of the White Sox lineup, RBI opportunities will be prevalent.
 
C.J. Wilson -15.6% percent
Wilson’s strong start has worn off fast allowing 12 earned runs in his last 10 innings. I was right in the middle of writing about why to sell high on Wilson when he was getting touched up for seven runs against the Angels. Before that game Wilson’s BABIP against was a low .253. In the span of 10 innings, that BABIP against has jumped to .275. Given his league average 2.00 K/BB rate, his BABIP against should continue to rise to around the .300 mark. There is also the matter of workload as Wilson has not thrown over 100 innings since 2002.
 
Grady Sizemore -15.4 percent
The news about Sizemore’s knee is anything but clear. Still, there are some that wonder if this injury could be a career altering problem. Until more information is available, one has to continue to hope that this is nothing more than an injury that needs rest. If that proves to be the case, Sizemore is certainly worth stashing on your DL. Stay tuned on this one.
 
Geovany Soto -14.1 percent
Soto hit .340 in April, but has gone ice cold in May to the tune of a .179 AVG. His BABIP has gone from .385 to .231 and his line drive rate from 33 percent to 15 percent. From one extreme to the next. The good thing is that Soto is still showing a vast improvement in plate discipline, taking a healthy amount of walks and chasing only 14 percent of pitches outside the strike zone in May. If you can get Soto on the cheap, now would be a good time as he is showing signs of improvement across the board in regard to his approach at the plate. May seems like a 53 at-bat slump, nothing more. 
 
Aramis Ramirez -13.8 percent
Turns out a thumb bruise has been hurting A-Ram for a little while and has only worsened his slump to start the season. This is both good and bad news. Good because it is an injury that should heal and be fine as the season moves along. Bad because it has affected his numbers in an extreme way. Now is a great time to buy low on Ramirez if you can afford to leave him on your bench until he heals up.
 
Trevor Hoffman -13.7 percent
Hoffman and his infinite ERA have been nothing but painful for fantasy owners. However, the talk was that mechanical issues were at the forefront of his problems. Since returning to action, Hoffman worked one flawless inning in a setup role. Because of his resume and the fact that he is only four saves away from 600, the Brewers are very likely to get him back into the closers role very quickly. Also, because there isn’t a clear cut replacement option in that pen. Unlike fantasy owners, baseball front offices aren’t as quick to dismiss aging stars off to poor starts (see: Griffey Jr., Ken). If your desperate for some saves it may not be the worst idea to get Hoffman while his value is next to nothing. Though, if you already have decent closer options, there is no reason to take the risk.