ERA/FIP Differences: With a Little Luck

Below is a list of every pitcher (minimum of 100 IP) that had an FIP of one-half run or more higher than his ERA. These pitchers may have had a bit of luck on their side in 2010 and that luck may not stick in 2011.

Note: Some of the top tier guys (Felix, Halladay, etc…) have over a half-run higher FIP, but should still be considered top tier options in 2011.

Name BABIP ERA FIP Diff
Clay Buchholz 0.265 2.33 3.61 -1.28
Tommy Hunter 0.264 3.73 4.99 -1.26
Tim Hudson 0.250 2.83 4.09 -1.26
Brian Duensing 0.276 2.62 3.85 -1.23
Trevor Cahill 0.238 2.97 4.19 -1.22
Jon Garland 0.267 3.47 4.41 -0.94
Jonathan Sanchez 0.262 3.07 4.00 -0.93
Vin Mazzaro 0.289 4.27 5.13 -0.86
R.A. Dickey 0.282 2.84 3.65 -0.81
Felix Hernandez 0.273 2.27 3.04 -0.77
Bronson Arroyo 0.246 3.88 4.61 -0.73
Wade Davis 0.281 4.07 4.79 -0.72
Jaime Garcia 0.302 2.70 3.41 -0.71
David Price 0.279 2.72 3.42 -0.70
Randy Wolf 0.283 4.17 4.85 -0.68
Madison Bumgarner 0.322 3.00 3.66 -0.66
Ted Lilly 0.259 3.62 4.27 -0.65
Jeremy Guthrie 0.263 3.83 4.44 -0.61
Cole Hamels 0.296 3.06 3.67 -0.61
Armando Galarraga 0.268 4.49 5.09 -0.60
Dave Bush 0.307 4.54 5.13 -0.59
Andy Pettitte 0.295 3.28 3.85 -0.57
Roy Halladay 0.298 2.44 3.01 -0.57
Johan Santana 0.281 2.98 3.54 -0.56
Gio Gonzalez 0.283 3.23 3.78 -0.55
Wade LeBlanc 0.306 4.25 4.80 -0.55
Ian Kennedy 0.265 3.80 4.33 -0.53
Roy Oswalt 0.261 2.76 3.27 -0.51
Matt Cain 0.260 3.14 3.65 -0.51
Matt Garza 0.279 3.91 4.42 -0.51