2010 Sleepers, Comebacks and Busts: Second Base

Second base has become considerably deeper over the past year with the breakouts of players like Aaron Hill and Jose Lopez.  Still, in the mid-to-late rounds there are some interesting names to consider.  Will there be more breakout players at second base this season?  Let’s take a look…

The Sleepers

Asdrubal Cabrera- In 523 at-bats last season, Cabrera hit sx home runs, scored 81 runs and stole 17 bases.  Entering 2010, he’ll take over everyday duties at shortstop for the tribe and take over as the team’s new leadoff hitter, moving Grady Sizemore down one spot.  These moves could pay huge dividens for Cabrera’s fantasy value.  As the everyday leadoff hitter, Cabrera should easily top his 523 at-bats from last season and even surpass the 600 at-bat mark, which could lead to somewhere around 100 runs scored and 20-plus stolen bases.  His SS/2B eligibility only adds to the reasons to target him on draft day. 
Scott Sizemore- Combined between 520 double-A and triple-A at-bats in 2010, Sizemore hit 17 home runs and stole 21 bases.  At age 25, he’ll get the chance to take over everyday duties at second base for the Tigers.  Somewhat high strikeout rates may limit his AVG a bit, but he has the potential to hit .280-plus with 15 home runs and 20 stolen bases if he can remain healthy.
Kelly Johnson- 2009 was just a miserable season for Johnson who started out slow, hit the DL and then lost his starting job to Martin Prado.  The Braves decided to cut Johnson loose this offseason and the D-Backs were more than happy to pick up the tab.  If Johnson can settle in he could thrive in Chase Field, which has consistently been one of the better hitter’s parks in all of baseball. 
The Comeback
Rickie Weeks – Weeks was on his way to a breakout season in 2009 when a wrist injury cost him the remainder of the season.  While he still strikes out too much to expect a high AVG, his power/speed combo should make him valuable as a late round option.  If he can somehow stay healthy for a full season (which seems like a lot to ask) he could easily score 100 runs atop that Brewer’s lineup.
The Bust
Aaron Hill – This isn’t to say that Aaron Hill will fall off the table completely, but his draft status is very high and a regression seems likely.  His HR/FB rate was almost double his previous career high and his previous career high AB/HR rate was almost cut in half in 2010.  Last season smells of “career year” and I’m not willing to pay a premium for it.  A solid .285, 20-25 home run season seems reasonable.